Foresight

A (Slightly) Mechanistic Theory for Exponentially Increasing AI Time Horizons?

AI ‘time horizons’ are mostly not about time (I think it’s mostly ‘data’, but you’ll see where I’m unsure)

May 24 • Oliver Sourbut

Reinforcement learning scaling might incentivise hidden reasoning architectures for AI

Another reason really competent AI might lie to you

May 10 • Oliver Sourbut

“Best humans still outperform”

One turning point in the history of cope around artificial intelligence

Apr 17 • Oliver Sourbut

Better than logarithmic returns to reasoning?

When does thinking harder (or longer) pay off?

Jul 30, 2025 • Oliver Sourbut

You Can’t Skip Exploration

Why understanding experimentation and taste is key to understanding AI

May 21, 2025 • Oliver Sourbut

Is the Cat Out of the Bag?

Who knows how to make AGI?

Apr 10, 2025 • Oliver Sourbut

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